Track record

Every signal we've published, scored against the market since publication. Hits, misses, and open calls · nothing is removed from this page. A signal desk that won't show its scoreboard is asking you to trust its adjectives.

25
Signals published
24
Resolved (graded vs S&P)
42%
Resolved in direction called
n=24
Small sample · see caveat
Read this before the table: 24 resolved signals is not statistical evidence · a coin can look this good over 24 flips. We publish the scoreboard from day one anyway, because a track record you only show once it looks good isn't a track record. The move column is the signal's move minus the S&P 500 over the same window.

The scoreboard · resolved and open

SignalCallConf.Move vs S&PResult
DIS
SIG-67B359F4 · Aug 27
SHORT57%+1.5%HIT
PG
SIG-AF596C33 · Aug 27
SHORT57%-2.2%MISS
MDT
SIG-4A03D9B0 · Aug 27
SHORT60%-4.5%MISS
ICLR
SIG-4D747776 · Aug 27
SHORT57%+3.0%HIT
HONA
SIG-E54D9123 · Aug 27
SHORT58%·OPEN
BA
SIG-77658FD7 · Aug 27
SHORT55%-1.0%MISS
ABT
SIG-81E76D48 · Aug 17
SHORT55%+2.2%HIT
WAB
SIG-8F0167E1 · Aug 1
SHORT52%+2.9%HIT
TSCO
SIG-C6718452 · Aug 1
SHORT54%-10.6%MISS
MLM
SIG-10DBE498 · Aug 1
LONG53%-6.7%MISS
FWONK
SIG-C3C1EFD4 · Aug 1
LONG59%-3.9%MISS
CB
SIG-349245B7 · Aug 1
LONG57%-3.6%MISS
BE
SIG-7279C48F · Jul 28
LONG57%+47.6%HIT
BE
SIG-E62F9697 · Jul 24
LONGn/a+32.5%HIT
INTC
SIG-9EE11A36 · Jul 24
LONG53%-0.5%HIT
XOM
SIG-84F70376 · Jul 20
SHORT54%-11.3%MISS
SCHW
SIG-E023A917 · Jul 10
LONG50%+4.0%HIT
CAG
SIG-4A2EE84A · Jul 2
SHORT57%-11.4%MISS
LLY
SIG-97598402 · Jul 2
LONG67%-8.7%MISS
STRL
SIG-9E772104 · Jul 2
LONG53%-34.0%MISS
MA
SIG-86B5E1C2 · Jul 2
LONG56%+4.0%HIT
AXON
SIG-F5B7DA73 · Jun 29
LONG62%-3.0%HIT
INTC
SIG-23FB6818 · May 18
LONGn/a-15.7%MISS
AAPL
SIG-CE112F2D · Jan 9
SHORT61%-36.0%MISS
USB
SIG-2D493F59 · Apr 11
SHORT51%-30.6%MISS

Watches (direction confidence under 50%) are published for the record but never scored as calls · scoring them would let us claim credit without conviction.